Ink And Paper
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$50.00
50 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.02%
EV $45.01 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
61.77%
23 openings, odds method
Variance
48.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 57
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 23 openings and 0.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 23 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=225, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Sticker | VINI (Glitter) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Mythical$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.370.37 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
Sticker | VINI (Glitter) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Mythical$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.370.37 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
Sticker | JW (Gold) | London 2018sticker · #EB4B4BRuffandReady$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$112112 CSGOBIG_COIN2.24x
Sticker | VINI (Glitter) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Mythical$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.370.37 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$32.4632.46 CSGOBIG_COIN0.65x
Sticker | VINI (Glitter) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Mythical$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.370.37 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.02%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $50.00 | 90.02% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 9.3%epic 1.5%#EB4B4B 25.7%industrial 13.6%classified 4.5%mil spec 13.6%#4B69FF 3.0%Mythical 16.6%#F2F8FF 12.1%best hit —