Imperial Dynasty
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$5.00
5 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $4.50 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
65.62%
13 openings, odds method
Variance
146.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
25.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 13 openings and 3.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=228, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.410.41 CSGOBIG_COIN0.08x
Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.581.58 CSGOBIG_COIN0.32x
Souvenir AUG | Carved Jade (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN$4.764.76 CSGOBIG_COIN0.95x
Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Field-Tested)weapon · violet$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.750.75 CSGOBIG_COIN0.15x
P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.793.79 CSGOBIG_COIN0.76x
StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN$4.954.95 CSGOBIG_COIN0.99x
Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.581.58 CSGOBIG_COIN0.32x
Souvenir AUG | Carved Jade (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN$4.764.76 CSGOBIG_COIN0.95x
Souvenir USP-S | Royal Blue (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN$9.929.92 CSGOBIG_COIN1.98x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.00 | 89.99% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.0%Industrial Grade 14.7%classified 39.9%mil spec 6.3%Mil Spec Grade 3.5%Mythical 7.7%restricted 21.0%milspec 2.1%violet 4.9%best hit —