Pharoah's Legacy

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$15.00

15 CSGOBIG_COIN

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $13.50 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d

77.11%

5 openings, odds method

Variance

64.7×

of price², per opening

Tail share

12.1%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

87.9%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

5 openings · below min

30 days

5 openings · below min

since tracking started

5 openings · below min

-0.5%391.0%782.5%

Small sample. 5 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	5	77.11%±704.9	—	odds
30d	5	77.11%±704.9	—	odds
All	5	77.11%±704.9	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire	1 in 1,000	$3,819 3,819 CSGOBIG_COIN	28.3%	0	0.0	—
AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	12.0%	$27.50 27.5 CSGOBIG_COIN	24.5%	1	0.6	—
Souvenir MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · restricted	13.5%	$10.57 10.57 CSGOBIG_COIN	10.6%	1	0.7	—
Souvenir USP-S \| Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF	16.5%	$9.60 9.6 CSGOBIG_COIN	11.7%	1	0.8	—
PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	15.0%	$9.14 9.14 CSGOBIG_COIN	10.2%	0	0.8	—
Souvenir MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted	10.6%	$9.10 9.1 CSGOBIG_COIN	7.1%	1	0.5	—
Souvenir MAC-10 \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted	1 in 22	$5.99 5.99 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.1%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff	1 in 11	$5.24 5.24 CSGOBIG_COIN	3.5%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Gold Bismuth (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 59	$2.60 2.6 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.3%	0	0.1	—
Souvenir G3SG1 \| Ancient Ritual (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Uncommon	1 in 13	$2.02 2.02 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.1%	0	0.4	—
P2000 \| Obsidian (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 16	$1.06 1.06 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.5%	1	0.3	—
Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 32	$0.34 0.34 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.1%	0	0.2	—

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=230, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

AK-47 | The Empress (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$15.0015 CSGOBIG_COIN$27.5027.5 CSGOBIG_COIN1.83x1d

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF$15.0015 CSGOBIG_COIN$9.609.6 CSGOBIG_COIN0.64x1d

Souvenir MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted$15.0015 CSGOBIG_COIN$9.109.1 CSGOBIG_COIN0.61x1d

P2000 | Obsidian (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$15.0015 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.061.06 CSGOBIG_COIN0.07x1d

Souvenir MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$15.0015 CSGOBIG_COIN$10.5710.57 CSGOBIG_COIN0.70x1d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$15.00	90.00%	12

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 27.1%restricted 21.3%#8847FF 16.5%Restricted 15.2%#8847ff 9.1%Uncommon 7.6%mil spec 3.2%best hit —