Viking Voyages

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$40.00
40 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $36.00 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
35.39%
4 openings, odds method
Variance
2.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
17.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
67.6%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
4 openings · below min
30 days
4 openings · below min
since tracking started
4 openings · below min
-0.5%100.8%202.0%

Small sample. 4 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d435.39%±165.8—odds
30d435.39%±165.8—odds
All435.39%±165.8—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)weapon · red · Emerald1 in 100$637 637 CSGOBIG_COIN17.7%00.0—
M4A4 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted10.5%$97.17 97.17 CSGOBIG_COIN28.3%00.4—
★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 17$74.32 74.32 CSGOBIG_COIN12.5%00.2—
Sticker | dupreeh (Foil) | Cologne 2016sticker · #D32CE614.9%$42.69 42.69 CSGOBIG_COIN17.7%00.6—
Cologne 2016 Legends (Holo-Foil)other · #B0C3D912.0%$37.12 37.12 CSGOBIG_COIN12.3%10.5—
StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert16.4%$15.10 15.1 CSGOBIG_COIN6.9%10.7—
M4A1-S | Decimator (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 11$14.67 14.67 CSGOBIG_COIN3.7%00.4—
MP9 | Food Chain (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 63$2.58 2.58 CSGOBIG_COIN0.1%10.1—
PP-Bizon | High Roller (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee61 in 13$1.83 1.83 CSGOBIG_COIN0.4%10.3—
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Vendetta (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF13.4%$0.88 0.88 CSGOBIG_COIN0.3%00.5—
Sticker | Vitality (Foil) | Stockholm 2021sticker · #D32CE61 in 22$0.71 0.71 CSGOBIG_COIN0.1%00.2—
Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec1 in 32$0.70 0.7 CSGOBIG_COIN0.1%00.1—
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=234, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

MP9 | Food Chain (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink$40.0040 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.582.58 CSGOBIG_COIN0.06x
PP-Bizon | High Roller (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee6$40.0040 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.831.83 CSGOBIG_COIN0.05x
Cologne 2016 Legends (Holo-Foil)other · #B0C3D9$40.0040 CSGOBIG_COIN$37.1237.12 CSGOBIG_COIN0.93x
StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$40.0040 CSGOBIG_COIN$15.1015.1 CSGOBIG_COIN0.38x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$40.0090.00%12
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedred 1.0%restricted 10.5%extraordinary 6.0%#D32CE6 19.5%#B0C3D9 12.0%covert 16.4%classified 9.0%pink 1.6%#d32ee6 7.5%#4B69FF 13.4%mil spec 3.1%best hit —