Price
$40.00
40 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $36.00 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
35.39%
4 openings, odds method
Variance
2.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
17.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
67.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 4 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=234, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
PP-Bizon | High Roller (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee6$40.0040 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.831.83 CSGOBIG_COIN0.05x
StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$40.0040 CSGOBIG_COIN$15.1015.1 CSGOBIG_COIN0.38x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $40.00 | 90.00% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedred 1.0%restricted 10.5%extraordinary 6.0%#D32CE6 19.5%#B0C3D9 12.0%covert 16.4%classified 9.0%pink 1.6%#d32ee6 7.5%#4B69FF 13.4%mil spec 3.1%best hit —