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Civil Rights

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$250.00
250 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $225.00 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
80.54%
16 openings, odds method
Variance
24.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 100
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
6 openings · below min
7 days
16 openings · below min
30 days
16 openings · below min
since tracking started
16 openings · below min
-0.5%235.8%472.0%

Small sample. 16 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h678.40%±392.8—odds
7d1680.54%±240.5—odds
30d1680.54%±240.5—odds
All1680.54%±240.5—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 100$12.2K 12,175 CSGOBIG_COIN54.1%00.2—
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B1 in 17$964 964 CSGOBIG_COIN25.7%31.0—
★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · Covert1 in 33$753 753 CSGOBIG_COIN10.1%00.5—
★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert12.0%$93.97 93.97 CSGOBIG_COIN5.0%31.91.56×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert16.5%$38.07 38.07 CSGOBIG_COIN2.8%02.60.00×
USP-S | Business Class (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec15.0%$22.00 22 CSGOBIG_COIN1.5%02.40.00×
StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 11$11.47 11.47 CSGOBIG_COIN0.5%31.42.08×
Sticker | Aleksib (Gold) | Paris 2023sticker · #F2F8FF1 in 66$6.12 6.12 CSGOBIG_COIN0.0%00.2—
Sticker | dupreeh | Krakow 2017sticker · #4B69FF13.5%$4.32 4.32 CSGOBIG_COIN0.3%22.20.93×
Sticker | BIG | Boston 2018sticker · #4B69FF10.5%$1.15 1.15 CSGOBIG_COIN0.1%31.71.79×
MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Well-Worn)weapon · violet1 in 22$0.82 0.82 CSGOBIG_COIN0.0%10.7—
Glock-18 | Catacombs (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 13$0.42 0.42 CSGOBIG_COIN0.0%11.20.83×
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=243, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4BHeaded$250250 CSGOBIG_COIN$964964 CSGOBIG_COIN3.86x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B$250250 CSGOBIG_COIN$964964 CSGOBIG_COIN3.86x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B$250250 CSGOBIG_COIN$964964 CSGOBIG_COIN3.86x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$250250 CSGOBIG_COIN$11.4711.47 CSGOBIG_COIN0.05x
Sticker | BIG | Boston 2018sticker · #4B69FF$250250 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.151.15 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert$250250 CSGOBIG_COIN$93.9793.97 CSGOBIG_COIN0.38x
★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert$250250 CSGOBIG_COIN$93.9793.97 CSGOBIG_COIN0.38x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4BHeaded$250250 CSGOBIG_COIN$964964 CSGOBIG_COIN3.86x
StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$250250 CSGOBIG_COIN$11.4711.47 CSGOBIG_COIN0.05x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B$250250 CSGOBIG_COIN$964964 CSGOBIG_COIN3.86x
Sticker | BIG | Boston 2018sticker · #4B69FF$250250 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.151.15 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
Sticker | dupreeh | Krakow 2017sticker · #4B69FF$250250 CSGOBIG_COIN$4.324.32 CSGOBIG_COIN0.02x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B$250250 CSGOBIG_COIN$964964 CSGOBIG_COIN3.86x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$25090.00%12
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 10.0%#EB4B4B 6.0%Covert 3.0%covert 28.5%mil spec 15.0%#F2F8FF 1.5%#4B69FF 24.0%violet 4.5%Rare 7.5%best hit $964 (3.86x)