Price
$230.00
230 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $207.00 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
36.31%
10 openings, odds method
Variance
37.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 100
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 10 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 10 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=245, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Well-Worn)weapon · Industrial Grade$230230 CSGOBIG_COIN$5.455.45 CSGOBIG_COIN0.02x
AK-47 | Baroque Purple (Factory New)weapon · industrial$230230 CSGOBIG_COIN$11.6111.61 CSGOBIG_COIN0.05x
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Night (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · Covert$230230 CSGOBIG_COIN$179179 CSGOBIG_COIN0.78x
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Night (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · Covert$230230 CSGOBIG_COIN$179179 CSGOBIG_COIN0.78x
Souvenir Five-SeveN | Hot Shot (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · industrialRassel$230230 CSGOBIG_COIN$26.9026.9 CSGOBIG_COIN0.12x
★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife$230230 CSGOBIG_COIN$90.0090 CSGOBIG_COIN0.39x
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Night (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · Covert$230230 CSGOBIG_COIN$179179 CSGOBIG_COIN0.78x
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$230230 CSGOBIG_COIN$140140 CSGOBIG_COIN0.61x
AK-47 | Baroque Purple (Factory New)weapon · industrial$230230 CSGOBIG_COIN$11.6111.61 CSGOBIG_COIN0.05x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $230 | 90.00% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 1.0%covert knife 37.5%Covert 7.5%industrial 18.0%violet 3.0%Industrial Grade 12.0%Restricted 9.0%remarkable 1.5%#B0C3D9 10.5%best hit —