The Angel Of Death

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$120.00

120 CSGOBIG_COIN

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $108.00 from 20 items

Observed RTP, 30d

107.97%

14 openings, odds method

Variance

24.1×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 26

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

87.4%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

10 openings · below min

30 days

14 openings · below min

since tracking started

14 openings · below min

-0.5%209.8%420.0%

Small sample. 14 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	10	114.87%±304.5	—	odds
30d	14	107.97%±257.3	—	odds
All	14	107.97%±257.3	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 400	$11K 11,000 CSGOBIG_COIN	25.5%	0	0.0	—
AK-47 \| X-Ray (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 200	$1,477 1,477 CSGOBIG_COIN	6.8%	0	0.1	—
★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 200	$1,458 1,458 CSGOBIG_COIN	6.7%	0	0.1	—
★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Minimal Wear)gloves · legendary	1 in 200	$1,265 1,265 CSGOBIG_COIN	5.9%	0	0.1	—
★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)knife · gold	1 in 46	$720 720 CSGOBIG_COIN	14.4%	0	0.3	—
★ Karambit \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife	1 in 13	$435 435 CSGOBIG_COIN	32.0%	4	1.1	3.60×
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 138	$209 209 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 28	$105 105 CSGOBIG_COIN	3.5%	0	0.5	—
★ Navaja Knife \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)knife · #ffd700	1 in 69	$70.82 70.82 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.9%	1	0.2	—
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 11	$24.23 24.23 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.1%	0	1.3	0.00×
XM1014 \| Heaven Guard (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 35	$7.91 7.91 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.2%	0	0.4	—
Sticker \| shox \| Krakow 2017sticker · #4B69FF	10.8%	$2.26 2.26 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.2%	0	1.5	0.00×
MAC-10 \| Surfwood (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer	1 in 23	$2.24 2.24 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.1%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Black Sand (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 15	$0.91 0.91 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.1%	0	0.9	—
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Origami (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 17	$0.62 0.62 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	2	0.8	—
Souvenir MAC-10 \| Strats (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9	10.1%	$0.14 0.14 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	1	1.4	0.71×
MP7 \| Prey (Well-Worn)weapon · #B0C3D9	1 in 12	$0.10 0.1 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	1	1.2	0.82×
Sawed-Off \| Fubar (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 14	$0.07 0.07 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	2	1.0	1.98×
Sealed Graffiti \| Chess King (Violent Violet)graffiti · #B0C3D9	1 in 20	$0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	0	0.7	—
Sealed Graffiti \| Cocky (War Pig Pink)graffiti · #B0C3D9	11.6%	$0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	3	1.6	1.85×

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=25, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Souvenir MAC-10 | Strats (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9$120120 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.140.14 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x1d

Sealed Graffiti | Cocky (War Pig Pink)graffiti · #B0C3D9$120120 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.030.03 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x1d

★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)knife · #ffd700$120120 CSGOBIG_COIN$70.8270.82 CSGOBIG_COIN0.59x1d

★ Karambit | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife$120120 CSGOBIG_COIN$435435 CSGOBIG_COIN3.63x1d

★ Karambit | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · covert knifeKICK/JUSTSAN666$120120 CSGOBIG_COIN$435435 CSGOBIG_COIN3.63x1d

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Origami (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$120120 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.620.62 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x1d

★ Karambit | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife$120120 CSGOBIG_COIN$435435 CSGOBIG_COIN3.63x2d

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$120120 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.070.07 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x2d

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$120120 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.070.07 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x5d

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Origami (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$120120 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.620.62 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x5d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$120	90.00%	20

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 0.8%covert 4.1%legendary 0.5%gold 2.2%covert knife 8.7%#ffd700 1.4%Classified 9.4%restricted 2.9%#4B69FF 10.8%consumer 4.3%Mil Spec Grade 6.5%milspec 13.0%#B0C3D9 35.4%best hit —