Luxury Loot

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$750.00
750 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $675.00 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
46.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 133
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.5%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary1 in 400$86.8K 86,850 CSGOBIG_COIN32.2%00.0—
Sticker | Team Dignitas (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable1 in 400$38.7K 38,680 CSGOBIG_COIN14.3%00.0—
★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary1 in 400$26.9K 26,860 CSGOBIG_COIN9.9%00.0—
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire1 in 200$18.5K 18,500 CSGOBIG_COIN13.7%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 12$1,980 1,980 CSGOBIG_COIN24.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife11.0%$150 150 CSGOBIG_COIN2.4%00.0—
★ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife19.2%$108 108 CSGOBIG_COIN3.1%00.0—
StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee616.5%$3.73 3.73 CSGOBIG_COIN0.1%00.0—
Sticker | SmithZz | Atlanta 2017sticker · #4B69FF1 in 18$3.19 3.19 CSGOBIG_COIN0.0%00.0—
Sticker | NQZ (Glitter) | Rio 2022sticker · #8847FF13.7%$1.74 1.74 CSGOBIG_COIN0.0%00.0—
Perfect World Graffiti Boxgraffiti · #B0C3D921.9%$1.51 1.51 CSGOBIG_COIN0.0%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 36$0.94 0.94 CSGOBIG_COIN0.0%00.0—
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=250, 11 Nov, 12:47 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$75090.00%12
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedlegendary 0.3%remarkable 0.3%extraordinary 0.3%covert 8.7%covert knife 30.2%#d32ee6 16.5%#4B69FF 5.5%#8847FF 13.7%#B0C3D9 21.9%#4b69ff 2.8%