Cash King's Cache
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$300.00
300 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $270.00 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
11.09%
24 openings, odds method
Variance
64.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 133
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
98.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 24 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 24 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=254, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$300300 CSGOBIG_COIN$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN0.50x
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF$300300 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.152.15 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
StatTrak™ Negev | Bratatat (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF$300300 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.261.26 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF$300300 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.152.15 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$300300 CSGOBIG_COIN$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN0.50x
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF$300300 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.152.15 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$300300 CSGOBIG_COIN$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN0.50x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $300 | 90.00% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 1.3%extraordinary 0.5%covert knife 16.4%#4B69FF 32.8%Ancient 5.5%violet 21.8%#8847FF 19.1%#D32CE6 2.8%best hit —