High Roller's Haul
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$225.00
225 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $202.50 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
1.04%
3 openings, odds method
Variance
98.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 333
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
91.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 3 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=255, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Sealed Graffiti | FaZe Clan | Boston 2018graffiti · #4B69FF$225225 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.013.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
Souvenir Nova | Predator (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9$225225 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.970.97 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $225 | 90.00% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 16.8%extraordinary 8.5%contraband 0.2%classified 2.8%#4B69FF 27.6%Mil Spec 11.0%#B0C3D9 13.8%Mythical 19.3%best hit —