Money Stash

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$150.00

150 CSGOBIG_COIN

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $135.00 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d

4.19%

15 openings, odds method

Variance

25.8×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 50

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

91.5%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

4 openings · below min

7 days

13 openings · below min

30 days

15 openings · below min

since tracking started

15 openings · below min

-0.5%250.7%502.0%

Small sample. 15 openings and 0.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	4	3.60%±497.9	—	odds
7d	13	3.89%±276.2	—	odds
30d	15	4.19%±257.1	—	odds
All	15	4.19%±257.1	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 15 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald	1 in 200	$9,200 9,200 CSGOBIG_COIN	34.1%	0	0.1	—
★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald	1 in 200	$4,100 4,100 CSGOBIG_COIN	15.2%	0	0.1	—
★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 100	$2,750 2,750 CSGOBIG_COIN	20.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald	1 in 100	$765 765 CSGOBIG_COIN	5.7%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 18	$429 429 CSGOBIG_COIN	17.3%	0	0.8	—
Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)weapon · covert · Phase 3	1 in 12	$46.67 46.67 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.8%	0	1.2	0.00×
Souvenir AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · #5E98D9	18.8%	$15.99 15.99 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.2%	3	2.8	1.06×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Pulse (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 36	$12.93 12.93 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.3%	0	0.4	—
Souvenir SG 553 \| Fallout Warning (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · #5E98D9	21.5%	$7.98 7.98 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.3%	3	3.2	0.93×
Sticker \| Stewie2K (Foil) \| London 2018sticker · #8847FF	13.5%	$4.03 4.03 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.4%	2	2.0	0.99×
MP7 \| Special Delivery (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	16.1%	$2.32 2.32 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.3%	4	2.4	1.65×
StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	10.8%	$1.64 1.64 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.1%	3	1.6	1.85×

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=256, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.322.32 CSGOBIG_COIN0.02x6h

Souvenir AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · #5E98D9$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN$15.9915.99 CSGOBIG_COIN0.11x6h

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.641.64 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x6h

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · RestrictedDefault Name$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.641.64 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x6h

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.641.64 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x3d

Souvenir SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · #5E98D9$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN$7.987.98 CSGOBIG_COIN0.05x3d

Sticker | Stewie2K (Foil) | London 2018sticker · #8847FF$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN$4.034.03 CSGOBIG_COIN0.03x3d

MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.322.32 CSGOBIG_COIN0.02x3d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$150	90.00%	12

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 10.1%extraordinary 1.0%covert knife 5.5%#5E98D9 40.3%restricted 18.9%#8847FF 13.5%Restricted 10.8%best hit —