Royal Riches

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$20.00

20 CSGOBIG_COIN

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $18.00 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d

6.32%

19 openings, odds method

Variance

8.2×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 10

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

90.3%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

1 openings · below min

7 days

13 openings · below min

30 days

19 openings · below min

since tracking started

19 openings · below min

-0.5%281.5%563.5%

Small sample. 19 openings and 1.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	1	1.20%±561.7	—	odds
7d	13	6.58%±155.8	—	odds
30d	19	6.32%±128.9	—	odds
All	19	6.32%±128.9	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 19 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Sticker \| Crown (Foil)sticker · exotic	1 in 1,000	$780 780 CSGOBIG_COIN	4.3%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| 3DMAX \| Katowice 2014sticker · high	1 in 1,000	$500 500 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.8%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| Flipsid3 Tactics (Holo) \| Katowice 2015sticker · remarkable	1 in 400	$380 380 CSGOBIG_COIN	5.3%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) \| DreamHack 2014sticker · remarkable	1 in 100	$202 202 CSGOBIG_COIN	11.2%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 12	$155 155 CSGOBIG_COIN	70.9%	0	1.6	0.00×
SG 553 \| Gator Mesh (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #5E98D9	13.7%	$4.14 4.14 CSGOBIG_COIN	3.1%	4	2.6	1.54×
Five-SeveN \| Retrobution (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	19.1%	$0.79 0.79 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.8%	2	3.6	0.55×
Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare	1 in 18	$0.76 0.76 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.2%	1	1.0	0.96×
Sticker \| karrigan (Holo) \| Rio 2022sticker · #D32CE6	21.9%	$0.55 0.55 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.7%	5	4.2	1.20×
Galil AR \| Vandal (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue	16.4%	$0.41 0.41 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.4%	4	3.1	1.28×
Sticker \| KSCERATO (Glitter) \| Rio 2022sticker · #8847FF	11.0%	$0.34 0.34 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.2%	0	2.1	0.00×
Sticker \| ISSAA \| Katowice 2019sticker · #4B69FF	1 in 36	$0.24 0.24 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	3	0.5	—

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=260, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Sticker | ISSAA | Katowice 2019sticker · #4B69FF$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.240.24 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x4h

SG 553 | Gator Mesh (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #5E98D9$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$4.144.14 CSGOBIG_COIN0.21x1d

Galil AR | Vandal (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.410.41 CSGOBIG_COIN0.02x1d

Sticker | karrigan (Holo) | Rio 2022sticker · #D32CE6$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.550.55 CSGOBIG_COIN0.03x2d

SG 553 | Gator Mesh (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #5E98D9$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$4.144.14 CSGOBIG_COIN0.21x2d

Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.790.79 CSGOBIG_COIN0.04x3d

Galil AR | Vandal (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.410.41 CSGOBIG_COIN0.02x4d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$20.00	90.00%	12

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedexotic 0.1%high 0.1%remarkable 1.3%covert 8.2%#5E98D9 13.7%#8847ff 19.1%Rare 5.5%#D32CE6 21.9%blue 16.4%#8847FF 11.0%#4B69FF 2.8%best hit —