Prestige Prizes

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$175.00

175 CSGOBIG_COIN

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $157.50 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d

12.15%

4 openings, odds method

Variance

26.4×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 100

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

97.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

4 openings · below min

30 days

4 openings · below min

since tracking started

4 openings · below min

-0.5%258.0%516.5%

Small sample. 4 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	4	12.15%±503.6	—	odds
30d	4	12.15%±503.6	—	odds
All	4	12.15%±503.6	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New)weapon · legendary	1 in 200	$10K 10,000 CSGOBIG_COIN	31.7%	0	0.0	—
★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 200	$6,150 6,150 CSGOBIG_COIN	19.5%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald	1 in 100	$3,245 3,245 CSGOBIG_COIN	20.6%	0	0.0	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 3	1 in 100	$1,935 1,935 CSGOBIG_COIN	12.3%	0	0.0	—
★ Shadow Daggers \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)knife · gold	1 in 12	$90.33 90.33 CSGOBIG_COIN	4.7%	0	0.3	—
AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	21.5%	$71.68 71.68 CSGOBIG_COIN	9.8%	1	0.9	—
SG 553 \| Gator Mesh (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade	10.8%	$10.37 10.37 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.7%	1	0.4	—
Souvenir MP5-SD \| Co-Processor (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF	13.5%	$4.54 4.54 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.4%	0	0.5	—
Sealed Graffiti \| Recoil AUG (Monster Purple)graffiti · #B0C3D9	1 in 18	$2.59 2.59 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.1%	0	0.2	—
P90 \| Shapewood (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 36	$2.08 2.08 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	0	0.1	—
PP-Bizon \| Breaker Box (Factory New)weapon · #87c7ff	16.1%	$1.51 1.51 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.2%	2	0.6	—
Souvenir MP7 \| Tall Grass (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #5E98D9	18.8%	$0.25 0.25 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	0	0.8	—

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=267, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Factory New)weapon · #87c7ff$175175 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.511.51 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x1d

PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Factory New)weapon · #87c7ff$175175 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.511.51 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x6d

AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$175175 CSGOBIG_COIN$71.6871.68 CSGOBIG_COIN0.41x6d

SG 553 | Gator Mesh (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade$175175 CSGOBIG_COIN$10.3710.37 CSGOBIG_COIN0.06x6d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$175	90.00%	12

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedlegendary 0.5%extraordinary 0.5%covert 23.5%gold 8.1%Industrial Grade 10.8%#4B69FF 13.5%#B0C3D9 5.4%classified 2.8%#87c7ff 16.1%#5E98D9 18.8%best hit —