Affluent Ante

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$60.00

60 CSGOBIG_COIN

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $54.00 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d

10.20%

9 openings, odds method

Variance

25.0×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 50

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

94.3%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

5 openings · below min

30 days

9 openings · below min

since tracking started

9 openings · below min

-0.5%222.5%445.5%

Small sample. 9 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	5	6.86%±438.1	—	odds
30d	9	10.20%±326.6	—	odds
All	9	10.20%±326.6	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 200	$3,330 3,330 CSGOBIG_COIN	30.8%	0	0.0	—
★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 200	$2,000 2,000 CSGOBIG_COIN	18.5%	0	0.0	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 100	$1,100 1,100 CSGOBIG_COIN	20.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 100	$660 660 CSGOBIG_COIN	12.2%	0	0.1	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 37	$183 183 CSGOBIG_COIN	9.3%	0	0.2	—
Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	13.5%	$16.19 16.19 CSGOBIG_COIN	4.0%	3	1.2	2.48×
P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	21.5%	$8.26 8.26 CSGOBIG_COIN	3.3%	0	1.9	0.00×
SG 553 \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 18	$4.21 4.21 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.4%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ P250 \| Nevermore (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	10.8%	$1.82 1.82 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.4%	2	1.0	—
StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Firestarter (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF	16.1%	$1.51 1.51 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.5%	1	1.5	0.69×
StatTrak™ M249 \| System Lock (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 12	$0.75 0.75 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.1%	1	0.7	—
MAC-10 \| Candy Apple (Factory New)weapon · industrial	18.8%	$0.31 0.31 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.1%	2	1.7	1.18×

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=272, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$60.0060 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.821.82 CSGOBIG_COIN0.03x1d

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF$60.0060 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.511.51 CSGOBIG_COIN0.03x1d

StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$60.0060 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.750.75 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x1d

MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Factory New)weapon · industrial$60.0060 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.310.31 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x1d

Desert Eagle | Code Red (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$60.0060 CSGOBIG_COIN$16.1916.19 CSGOBIG_COIN0.27x1d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$60.00	90.00%	12

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 40.7%industrial 24.3%restricted 10.8%#4B69FF 16.1%milspec 8.1%best hit —