High Society Haul

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$10.00

10 CSGOBIG_COIN

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $9.00 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d

12.54%

169 openings, odds method

Variance

74.7×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 250

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

96.8%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

17 openings · below min

7 days

149 openings · below min

30 days

169 openings · below min

since tracking started

169 openings · below min

-0.5%208.5%417.5%

Small sample. 169 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	17	6.04%±410.9	—	odds
7d	149	13.56%±138.8	—	odds
30d	169	12.54%±130.3	—	odds
All	169	12.54%±130.3	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 169 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 1,000	$1,916 1,916 CSGOBIG_COIN	21.3%	0	0.2	—
AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 1,000	$1,420 1,420 CSGOBIG_COIN	15.8%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · epic	1 in 1,000	$980 980 CSGOBIG_COIN	10.9%	0	0.2	—
M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 1,000	$680 680 CSGOBIG_COIN	7.6%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 36	$126 126 CSGOBIG_COIN	39.2%	1	4.8	0.21×
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Osiris (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 12	$1.66 1.66 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.5%	18	14.1	1.28×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Crypsis (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	11.1%	$0.47 0.47 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.6%	23	18.7	1.23×
Sawed-Off \| Origami (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	22.1%	$0.47 0.47 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.2%	31	37.3	0.83×
Souvenir Five-SeveN \| Contractor (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9	13.8%	$0.39 0.39 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.6%	24	23.4	1.03×
Souvenir AUG \| Sweeper (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9	19.3%	$0.36 0.36 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.8%	35	32.7	1.07×
UMP-45 \| Full Stop (Field-Tested)weapon · blue	16.6%	$0.25 0.25 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.5%	31	28.0	1.11×
Sticker \| forZe eSports \| Berlin 2019sticker · #4B69FF	1 in 18	$0.24 0.24 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.1%	6	9.4	0.64×

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=275, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Souvenir AUG | Sweeper (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.360.36 CSGOBIG_COIN0.04x4h

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Osiris (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.661.66 CSGOBIG_COIN0.17x7h

UMP-45 | Full Stop (Field-Tested)weapon · blue$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.250.25 CSGOBIG_COIN0.03x7h

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Crypsis (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.470.47 CSGOBIG_COIN0.05x7h

Souvenir AUG | Sweeper (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.360.36 CSGOBIG_COIN0.04x7h

Sawed-Off | Origami (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.470.47 CSGOBIG_COIN0.05x8h

Souvenir AUG | Sweeper (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.360.36 CSGOBIG_COIN0.04x8h

Sticker | forZe eSports | Berlin 2019sticker · #4B69FF$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.240.24 CSGOBIG_COIN0.02x8h

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Osiris (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.661.66 CSGOBIG_COIN0.17x8h

Sawed-Off | Origami (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.470.47 CSGOBIG_COIN0.05x8h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$10.00	90.00%	12

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 0.3%epic 0.1%classified 2.8%Mythical 8.3%milspec 11.1%mil spec 22.1%#B0C3D9 33.2%blue 16.6%#4B69FF 5.6%best hit —