Heroes Of Troy

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$425.00

425 CSGOBIG_COIN

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $382.50 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d

4.40%

12 openings, odds method

Variance

82.5×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 222

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

93.5%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

12 openings · below min

30 days

12 openings · below min

since tracking started

12 openings · below min

-0.5%259.3%519.0%

Small sample. 12 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	12	4.40%±513.8	—	odds
30d	12	4.40%±513.8	—	odds
All	12	4.40%±513.8	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
M4A4 \| Howl - 4x IBP (Factory New)weapon · #E4AE39	1 in 1,000	$100K 100,000 CSGOBIG_COIN	26.1%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable	1 in 667	$50K 50,000 CSGOBIG_COIN	19.6%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 500	$20K 20,000 CSGOBIG_COIN	10.5%	0	0.0	—
★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 182	$8,000 8,000 CSGOBIG_COIN	11.5%	0	0.1	—
★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 18	$1,571 1,571 CSGOBIG_COIN	22.6%	0	0.7	—
★ Flip Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	19.2%	$177 177 CSGOBIG_COIN	8.9%	1	2.3	0.43×
Sticker \| GuardiaN (Foil) \| Cluj-Napoca 2015sticker · #D32CE6	1 in 12	$13.87 13.87 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.3%	1	1.0	—
AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	22.0%	$5.39 5.39 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.3%	5	2.6	1.89×
MAG-7 \| Hard Water (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	11.0%	$2.53 2.53 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.1%	1	1.3	0.76×
AWP \| Exoskeleton (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	13.7%	$1.63 1.63 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.1%	1	1.6	0.61×
Souvenir PP-Bizon \| Breaker Box (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade	16.5%	$0.76 0.76 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	3	2.0	1.52×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Cracked Opal (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 36	$0.22 0.22 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	0	0.3	—

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=281, 11 Nov, 12:47 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

★ Flip Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$425425 CSGOBIG_COIN$177177 CSGOBIG_COIN0.42x4d

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$425425 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.760.76 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x4d

AK-47 | Rat Rod (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$425425 CSGOBIG_COIN$5.395.39 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x4d

MAG-7 | Hard Water (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$425425 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.532.53 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x4d

AK-47 | Rat Rod (Minimal Wear)weapon · restrictedpo0pie$425425 CSGOBIG_COIN$5.395.39 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x4d

AK-47 | Rat Rod (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$425425 CSGOBIG_COIN$5.395.39 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x4d

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$425425 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.760.76 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x5d

AK-47 | Rat Rod (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$425425 CSGOBIG_COIN$5.395.39 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x5d

Sticker | GuardiaN (Foil) | Cluj-Napoca 2015sticker · #D32CE6$425425 CSGOBIG_COIN$13.8713.87 CSGOBIG_COIN0.03x5d

AWP | Exoskeleton (Well-Worn)weapon · violet$425425 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.631.63 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x5d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$425	90.00%	12

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed#E4AE39 0.1%remarkable 0.1%covert 25.5%#D32CE6 8.3%restricted 22.0%mil spec 11.0%violet 13.7%Industrial Grade 16.5%Mil Spec Grade 2.8%best hit —