Balance Booster
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$7.33
7.33 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.96%
EV $6.59 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
63.25%
22 openings, odds method
Variance
84.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 10
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 22 openings and 2.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 22 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · legendary | 1 in 10,000 | $4,600 4,600 CSGOBIG_COIN | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| AWP | The Prince (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 5,000 | $2,600 2,600 CSGOBIG_COIN | 7.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| AWP | Medusa (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert | 1 in 3,333 | $1,600 1,600 CSGOBIG_COIN | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 1 in 2,500 | $720 720 CSGOBIG_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| AWP | Wildfire (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 63 | $60.00 60 CSGOBIG_COIN | 14.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| Sticker | Stupid Banana (Foil)sticker · exotic | 1 in 13 | $26.00 26 CSGOBIG_COIN | 31.5% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| Sticker | Bananasticker · #4b69ff | 90.3% | $2.00 2 CSGOBIG_COIN | 27.4% | 21 | 19.9 | 1.06× |
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=296, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.96%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $7.33 | 89.96% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.0%covert 1.7%exotic 8.0%#4b69ff 90.3%best hit —