Hunter
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$212.00
212 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $190.80 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
7.74%
6 openings, odds method
Variance
27.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 50
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 6 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · contraband | 1 in 200 | $12.5K 12,500 CSGOBIG_COIN | 32.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert | 1 in 200 | $6,000 6,000 CSGOBIG_COIN | 15.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)weapon · contraband | 1 in 100 | $5,500 5,500 CSGOBIG_COIN | 28.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 100 | $1,500 1,500 CSGOBIG_COIN | 7.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ Paracord Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · epic | 1 in 50 | $440 440 CSGOBIG_COIN | 4.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert | 1 in 20 | $170 170 CSGOBIG_COIN | 4.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point (Well-Worn)gloves · #eb4b4b | 10.0% | $59.00 59 CSGOBIG_COIN | 3.1% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified | 25.0% | $18.20 18.2 CSGOBIG_COIN | 2.4% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.33× |
| StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Catacombs (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec | 55.0% | $1.00 1 CSGOBIG_COIN | 0.3% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.91× |
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=334, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Catacombs (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$212212 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.001 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Catacombs (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$212212 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.001 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified$212212 CSGOBIG_COIN$18.2018.2 CSGOBIG_COIN0.09x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Catacombs (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$212212 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.001 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point (Well-Worn)gloves · #eb4b4b$212212 CSGOBIG_COIN$59.0059 CSGOBIG_COIN0.28x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedDabbed | 7k weekly LB$212212 CSGOBIG_COIN$18.2018.2 CSGOBIG_COIN0.09x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $212 | 90.00% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcontraband 1.5%covert 5.5%extraordinary 1.0%epic 2.0%#eb4b4b 10.0%classified 25.0%milspec 55.0%best hit —