Wicked Wonder

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$695.09
695 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $625.58 from 13 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
27.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 53
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
83.7%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
M4A4 | Howl - 4x IBP (Factory New)weapon · #E4AE391 in 10,000$175K 175,000 CSGOBIG_COIN2.8%00.0—
Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable1 in 1,111$70K 70,000 CSGOBIG_COIN10.1%00.0—
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · covert1 in 500$40K 40,000 CSGOBIG_COIN12.8%00.0—
Sticker | Team LDLC.com (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable1 in 500$25K 25,000 CSGOBIG_COIN8.0%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · contraband1 in 250$12K 12,000 CSGOBIG_COIN7.7%00.0—
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby1 in 100$8,000 8,000 CSGOBIG_COIN12.8%00.0—
★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 33$2,600 2,600 CSGOBIG_COIN12.5%00.0—
★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 25$1,800 1,800 CSGOBIG_COIN11.5%00.0—
★ Karambit | Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 14$700 700 CSGOBIG_COIN8.3%00.0—
★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary10.0%$400 400 CSGOBIG_COIN6.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ AWP | Asiimov (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert20.0%$150 150 CSGOBIG_COIN4.8%00.0—
MAC-10 | Curse (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Restricted21.0%$65.00 65 CSGOBIG_COIN2.2%00.0—
Glock-18 | Reactor (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec32.7%$5.00 5 CSGOBIG_COIN0.3%00.0—
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=342, 11 Nov, 12:47 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$69590.00%13
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed#E4AE39 0.0%remarkable 0.3%covert 35.6%contraband 0.4%extraordinary 10.0%Restricted 21.0%mil spec 32.7%