Holy Gem Trinity

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$1.20

1.2 CSGOBIG_COIN

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $1.08 from 10 items

Observed RTP, 30d

90.89%

47 openings, odds method

Variance

287.2×

of price², per opening

Tail share

25.0%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

60.7%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

9 openings · below min

7 days

47 openings · below min

30 days

47 openings · below min

since tracking started

47 openings · below min

-0.5%568.8%1138.0%

Small sample. 47 openings and 11.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	9	30.37%±1107.2	—	odds
7d	47	90.89%±484.5	—	odds
30d	47	90.89%±484.5	—	odds
All	47	90.89%±484.5	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 47 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald	1 in 1,000,000	$13.4K 13,420 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.2%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Sapphire	1 in 1,000,000	$13.1K 13,131 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.2%	0	0.0	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 1,000,000	$7,688 7,688 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.7%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| Vitality (Foil) \| Katowice 2019sticker · #D32CE6	1 in 27	$6.52 6.52 CSGOBIG_COIN	22.2%	2	1.7	1.16×
PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	21.4%	$2.31 2.31 CSGOBIG_COIN	45.7%	10	10.0	1.00×
Desert Eagle \| Meteorite (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	14.3%	$1.60 1.6 CSGOBIG_COIN	21.2%	7	6.7	1.04×
Falchion Casecontainer · Base Grade	10.8%	$0.35 0.35 CSGOBIG_COIN	3.5%	5	5.1	0.99×
P250 \| Verdigris (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 14	$0.29 0.29 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.9%	3	3.4	0.88×
Sealed Graffiti \| Toasted (Monster Purple)graffiti · #B0C3D9	17.8%	$0.10 0.1 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.7%	10	8.4	1.19×
Sealed Graffiti \| Cocky (Jungle Green)graffiti · #B0C3D9	24.9%	$0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.7%	10	11.7	0.85×

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=36, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

P250 | Verdigris (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec$1.201.2 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.290.29 CSGOBIG_COIN0.24x7h

Sealed Graffiti | Cocky (Jungle Green)graffiti · #B0C3D9$1.201.2 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.030.03 CSGOBIG_COIN0.03x7h

PP-Bizon | Embargo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$1.201.2 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.312.31 CSGOBIG_COIN1.93x9h

Sealed Graffiti | Cocky (Jungle Green)graffiti · #B0C3D9$1.201.2 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.030.03 CSGOBIG_COIN0.03x9h

Sealed Graffiti | Toasted (Monster Purple)graffiti · #B0C3D9$1.201.2 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.100.1 CSGOBIG_COIN0.08x9h

P250 | Verdigris (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec$1.201.2 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.290.29 CSGOBIG_COIN0.24x9h

Sealed Graffiti | Toasted (Monster Purple)graffiti · #B0C3D9$1.201.2 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.100.1 CSGOBIG_COIN0.08x17h

Sealed Graffiti | Cocky (Jungle Green)graffiti · #B0C3D9$1.201.2 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.030.03 CSGOBIG_COIN0.03x17h

Sealed Graffiti | Toasted (Monster Purple)graffiti · #B0C3D9$1.201.2 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.100.1 CSGOBIG_COIN0.08x17h

Sealed Graffiti | Cocky (Jungle Green)graffiti · #B0C3D9$1.201.2 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.030.03 CSGOBIG_COIN0.03x1d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$1.20	90.00%	10

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 0.0%#EB4B4B 0.0%#D32CE6 3.7%restricted 21.4%milspec 14.3%Base Grade 10.8%mil spec 7.2%#B0C3D9 42.7%best hit —