La La Land
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$1.50
1.5 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $1.35 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
46.43%
14 openings, odds method
Variance
5.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 14 openings and 2.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=37, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Seal Team 6 Soldier | NSWC SEALagent · distinguished$1.501.5 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.253.25 CSGOBIG_COIN2.17x
StatTrak™ MP7 | Armor Core (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$1.501.5 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.290.29 CSGOBIG_COIN0.19x
StatTrak™ MP7 | Armor Core (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec GradeBizepsBen$1.501.5 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.290.29 CSGOBIG_COIN0.19x
StatTrak™ MP7 | Armor Core (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$1.501.5 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.290.29 CSGOBIG_COIN0.19x
AK-47 | Uncharted (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil specQNA$1.501.5 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.580.58 CSGOBIG_COIN0.39x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.50 | 90.00% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 0.1%covert 1.0%distinguished 8.3%#4B69FF 5.6%industrial 19.3%#8847FF 19.1%mil spec 11.0%Mil Spec Grade 13.7%#4b69ff 21.8%best hit —