The Zeus
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$35.53
35.53 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $31.98 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
7.17%
18 openings, odds method
Variance
7.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
91.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 18 openings and 0.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 18 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 50 | $475 475 CSGOBIG_COIN | 29.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| ★ Bayonet | Lore (Well-Worn)knife · covert | 1 in 33 | $350 350 CSGOBIG_COIN | 32.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| ★ Bayonet | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert | 1 in 25 | $250 250 CSGOBIG_COIN | 31.3% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New)weapon · Classified | 1 in 25 | $13.71 13.71 CSGOBIG_COIN | 1.7% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified | 10.0% | $3.71 3.71 CSGOBIG_COIN | 1.2% | 4 | 1.8 | 2.22× |
| USP-S | Blueprint (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec | 11.0% | $3.36 3.36 CSGOBIG_COIN | 1.2% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.01× |
| P90 | Module (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 15.0% | $2.02 2.02 CSGOBIG_COIN | 0.9% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.74× |
| Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 10.0% | $1.28 1.28 CSGOBIG_COIN | 0.4% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.67× |
| M249 | Downtown (Factory New)weapon · violet | 20.0% | $1.22 1.22 CSGOBIG_COIN | 0.8% | 2 | 3.6 | 0.56× |
| Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New)weapon · light blue | 21.0% | $0.06 0.06 CSGOBIG_COIN | 0.0% | 4 | 3.8 | 1.06× |
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=379, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$35.5335.53 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.713.71 CSGOBIG_COIN0.10x
Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$35.5335.53 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.281.28 CSGOBIG_COIN0.04x
MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$35.5335.53 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.713.71 CSGOBIG_COIN0.10x
Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$35.5335.53 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.281.28 CSGOBIG_COIN0.04x
MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$35.5335.53 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.713.71 CSGOBIG_COIN0.10x
Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New)weapon · light blue$35.5335.53 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.060.06 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New)weapon · light blue$35.5335.53 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.060.06 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
USP-S | Blueprint (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$35.5335.53 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.363.36 CSGOBIG_COIN0.09x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $35.53 | 90.00% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 9.0%Classified 4.0%classified 10.0%mil spec 36.0%violet 20.0%light blue 21.0%best hit —