Dune Runner
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$8.99
8.99 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $8.09 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
403.00%
11 openings, odds method
Variance
16.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 17
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
84.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 11 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 11 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 100 | $363 363 CSGOBIG_COIN | 44.9% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| AK-47 | Jaguar (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $34.45 34.45 CSGOBIG_COIN | 21.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| P90 | Tiger Pit (Factory New)weapon · Rare | 10.0% | $12.39 12.39 CSGOBIG_COIN | 15.3% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.91× |
| USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New)weapon · Rare | 17.0% | $5.87 5.87 CSGOBIG_COIN | 12.3% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.60× |
| P90 | Desert Warfare (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec | 19.0% | $2.13 2.13 CSGOBIG_COIN | 5.0% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.96× |
| AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted | 20.0% | $0.36 0.36 CSGOBIG_COIN | 0.9% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.91× |
| Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial | 28.0% | $0.07 0.07 CSGOBIG_COIN | 0.2% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.65× |
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=380, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New)weapon · RareKryux$8.998.99 CSGOBIG_COIN$5.875.87 CSGOBIG_COIN0.65x
Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial$8.998.99 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.070.07 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
P90 | Desert Warfare (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$8.998.99 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.132.13 CSGOBIG_COIN0.24x
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)weapon · classifiedemeRR-$8.998.99 CSGOBIG_COIN$363363 CSGOBIG_COIN40.42x
Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial$8.998.99 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.070.07 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $8.99 | 89.99% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 1.0%covert 5.0%Rare 27.0%milspec 19.0%restricted 20.0%industrial 28.0%best hit —