Finish Line
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$70.47
70.47 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $63.42 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
52.91%
15 openings, odds method
Variance
6.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 25
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 15 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 15 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 25 | $853 853 CSGOBIG_COIN | 53.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted | 10.0% | $256 256 CSGOBIG_COIN | 40.4% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.33× |
| AUG | Carved Jade (Factory New)weapon · Rare | 18.0% | $12.30 12.3 CSGOBIG_COIN | 3.5% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.74× |
| MAC-10 | Malachite (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 21.0% | $2.55 2.55 CSGOBIG_COIN | 0.8% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.95× |
| MP7 | Powercore (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 21.0% | $2.49 2.49 CSGOBIG_COIN | 0.8% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.63× |
| PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 26.0% | $1.70 1.7 CSGOBIG_COIN | 0.7% | 6 | 3.9 | 1.54× |
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=383, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$70.4770.47 CSGOBIG_COIN$256256 CSGOBIG_COIN3.63x
PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Factory New)weapon · restricted$70.4770.47 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.701.7 CSGOBIG_COIN0.02x
MAC-10 | Malachite (Factory New)weapon · restrictedChubbyBunny$70.4770.47 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.552.55 CSGOBIG_COIN0.04x
PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Factory New)weapon · restricted$70.4770.47 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.701.7 CSGOBIG_COIN0.02x
MAC-10 | Malachite (Factory New)weapon · restricted$70.4770.47 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.552.55 CSGOBIG_COIN0.04x
Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedsarz$70.4770.47 CSGOBIG_COIN$256256 CSGOBIG_COIN3.63x
MAC-10 | Malachite (Factory New)weapon · restricted$70.4770.47 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.552.55 CSGOBIG_COIN0.04x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $70.47 | 90.00% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 4.0%restricted 78.0%Rare 18.0%best hit —