Prestige
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$2,020.54
2,021 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $1,818.49 from 17 items
Observed RTP, 30d
17.57%
3 openings, odds method
Variance
13.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 3 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=418, 11 Nov, 12:47 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)knife · covert$2,0212,021 CSGOBIG_COIN$390390 CSGOBIG_COIN0.19x
★ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)knife · covert$2,0212,021 CSGOBIG_COIN$390390 CSGOBIG_COIN0.19x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2,021 | 90.00% | 17 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 32.5%legendary 4.0%extraordinary 0.5%contraband 2.0%high 5.0%#EB4B4B 6.0%classified 35.0%epic 15.0%best hit —