Flashbang
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.66
0.66 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.66%
EV $0.59 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
52.81%
7 openings, odds method
Variance
1022.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
55.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
100.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 7 openings and 3.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=419, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet$0.660.66 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.280.28 CSGOBIG_COIN0.42x
Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violetjaviSchz$0.660.66 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.280.28 CSGOBIG_COIN0.42x
Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet⊹$0.660.66 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.280.28 CSGOBIG_COIN0.42x
Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet$0.660.66 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.280.28 CSGOBIG_COIN0.42x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.66%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.66 | 89.66% | 11 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.0%covert 0.0%#ffd700 0.0%covert knife 0.0%violet 100.0%best hit —