Jörmungandr's Curse
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$24.55
24.55 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $22.10 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
177.15%
25 openings, odds method
Variance
4.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
81.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 25 openings and 2.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 25 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 33 | $302 302 CSGOBIG_COIN | 41.0% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| P90 | Emerald Dragon (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee6 | 1 in 17 | $77.00 77 CSGOBIG_COIN | 20.9% | 4 | 1.5 | 2.67× |
| AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 10.0% | $31.00 31 CSGOBIG_COIN | 14.0% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.80× |
| MP9 | Hydra (Factory New)weapon · classified | 13.0% | $16.00 16 CSGOBIG_COIN | 9.4% | 4 | 3.3 | 1.23× |
| AWP | Atheris (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 15.0% | $10.00 10 CSGOBIG_COIN | 6.8% | 1 | 3.8 | 0.27× |
| StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted | 16.0% | $6.93 6.93 CSGOBIG_COIN | 5.0% | 4 | 4.0 | 1.00× |
| StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical | 17.0% | $3.31 3.31 CSGOBIG_COIN | 2.5% | 3 | 4.3 | 0.71× |
| AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted | 20.0% | $0.32 0.32 CSGOBIG_COIN | 0.3% | 5 | 5.0 | 1.00× |
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=431, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
P90 | Emerald Dragon (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee6$24.5524.55 CSGOBIG_COIN$77.0077 CSGOBIG_COIN3.14x
AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$24.5524.55 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.320.32 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$24.5524.55 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.320.32 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
P90 | Emerald Dragon (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee6$24.5524.55 CSGOBIG_COIN$77.0077 CSGOBIG_COIN3.14x
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · MythicalNecrz25$24.5524.55 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.313.31 CSGOBIG_COIN0.13x
P90 | Emerald Dragon (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee6$24.5524.55 CSGOBIG_COIN$77.0077 CSGOBIG_COIN3.14x
Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New)weapon · restricted$24.5524.55 CSGOBIG_COIN$302302 CSGOBIG_COIN12.30x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · RestrictedPOTATO$24.5524.55 CSGOBIG_COIN$6.936.93 CSGOBIG_COIN0.28x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$24.5524.55 CSGOBIG_COIN$6.936.93 CSGOBIG_COIN0.28x
AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$24.5524.55 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.320.32 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $24.55 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 38.0%#d32ee6 6.0%covert 10.0%classified 13.0%Restricted 16.0%Mythical 17.0%best hit —