Cyber Venom
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$29.91
29.91 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $26.91 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
20.81%
3 openings, odds method
Variance
3.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 3 openings and 0.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Souvenir AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restricted | 1 in 100 | $516 516 CSGOBIG_COIN | 19.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 25 | $126 126 CSGOBIG_COIN | 18.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| StatTrak™ M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Covert | 1 in 17 | $84.37 84.37 CSGOBIG_COIN | 18.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 12.0% | $40.87 40.87 CSGOBIG_COIN | 18.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Souvenir Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restricted | 16.0% | $19.91 19.91 CSGOBIG_COIN | 11.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified | 18.0% | $12.48 12.48 CSGOBIG_COIN | 8.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical | 20.0% | $3.58 3.58 CSGOBIG_COIN | 2.7% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| Five-SeveN | Hot Shot (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial | 23.0% | $2.61 2.61 CSGOBIG_COIN | 2.2% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=438, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Five-SeveN | Hot Shot (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial$29.9129.91 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.612.61 CSGOBIG_COIN0.09x
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified$29.9129.91 CSGOBIG_COIN$12.4812.48 CSGOBIG_COIN0.42x
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical$29.9129.91 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.583.58 CSGOBIG_COIN0.12x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $29.91 | 89.99% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 17.0%covert 16.0%Covert 6.0%classified 18.0%Mythical 20.0%industrial 23.0%best hit —