Vice City
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$17.12
17.12 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.01%
EV $15.41 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
42.34%
13 openings, odds method
Variance
47.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 13 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 1,000 | $3,550 3,550 CSGOBIG_COIN | 23.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 200 | $538 538 CSGOBIG_COIN | 17.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 23 | $37.00 37 CSGOBIG_COIN | 10.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Well-Worn)weapon · classified | 15.0% | $19.27 19.27 CSGOBIG_COIN | 18.8% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× |
| AK-47 | Head Shot (Minimal Wear)weapon · Covert | 20.0% | $15.00 15 CSGOBIG_COIN | 19.5% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.94× |
| AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear)weapon · Classified | 25.0% | $4.90 4.9 CSGOBIG_COIN | 7.9% | 4 | 4.0 | 1.00× |
| USP-S | Alpine Camo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Rare | 35.0% | $1.22 1.22 CSGOBIG_COIN | 2.8% | 7 | 5.6 | 1.25× |
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=446, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
USP-S | Alpine Camo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Rare$17.1217.12 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.221.22 CSGOBIG_COIN0.07x
USP-S | Alpine Camo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Rare$17.1217.12 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.221.22 CSGOBIG_COIN0.07x
USP-S | Alpine Camo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Rare$17.1217.12 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.221.22 CSGOBIG_COIN0.07x
USP-S | Alpine Camo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Rare$17.1217.12 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.221.22 CSGOBIG_COIN0.07x
Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Well-Worn)weapon · classified$17.1217.12 CSGOBIG_COIN$19.2719.27 CSGOBIG_COIN1.13x
Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Well-Worn)weapon · classified$17.1217.12 CSGOBIG_COIN$19.2719.27 CSGOBIG_COIN1.13x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.01%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $17.12 | 90.01% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.6%covert 4.4%classified 15.0%Covert 20.0%Classified 25.0%Rare 35.0%best hit —