Glovebox

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$19.99

19.99 CSGOBIG_COIN

Advertised RTP

89.98%

EV $17.99 from 11 items

Observed RTP, 30d

187.79%

20 openings, odds method

Variance

7.9×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 15

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

89.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

8 openings · below min

7 days

16 openings · below min

30 days

20 openings · below min

since tracking started

20 openings · below min

-0.5%172.8%346.0%

Small sample. 20 openings and 1.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	8	115.28%±194.3	—	odds
7d	16	207.81%±137.4	—	odds
30d	20	187.79%±122.9	—	odds
All	20	187.79%±122.9	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 20 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 5,000	$437 437 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 5,000	$318 318 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 100	$275 275 CSGOBIG_COIN	15.3%	0	0.2	—
★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 125	$272 272 CSGOBIG_COIN	12.1%	1	0.2	—
★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 1,000	$218 218 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.2%	0	0.0	—
★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 2,000	$210 210 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.6%	0	0.0	—
★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 100	$208 208 CSGOBIG_COIN	11.6%	1	0.2	—
★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 2,000	$197 197 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ Sport Gloves \| Big Game (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 28	$184 184 CSGOBIG_COIN	36.7%	1	0.7	—
★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 23	$86.00 86 CSGOBIG_COIN	20.9%	1	0.9	—
R8 Revolver \| Bone Mask (Factory New)weapon · #B0C3D9	89.0%	$0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.2%	16	17.8	0.90×

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=459, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New)weapon · #B0C3D9$19.9919.99 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.050.05 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x6h

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$19.9919.99 CSGOBIG_COIN$184184 CSGOBIG_COIN9.20x6h

R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New)weapon · #B0C3D9V$19.9919.99 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.050.05 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x6h

R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New)weapon · #B0C3D9$19.9919.99 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.050.05 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x6h

R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New)weapon · #B0C3D9$19.9919.99 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.050.05 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x13h

R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New)weapon · #B0C3D9$19.9919.99 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.050.05 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x3d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$19.99	89.98%	11

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 11.0%#B0C3D9 89.0%best hit —