Meme Lord

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$597.13
597 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $537.42 from 17 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
0.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
36.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
43.4%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald1 in 10,000$12.5K 12,500 CSGOBIG_COIN0.2%00.0—
AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear)weapon · legendary1 in 3,333$9,000 9,000 CSGOBIG_COIN0.5%00.0—
M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear)weapon · contraband1 in 2,000$5,500 5,500 CSGOBIG_COIN0.5%00.0—
AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 1,250$4,500 4,500 CSGOBIG_COIN0.7%00.0—
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 200$3,500 3,500 CSGOBIG_COIN3.3%00.0—
★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 217$2,250 2,250 CSGOBIG_COIN1.9%00.0—
AWP | The Prince (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 115$1,900 1,900 CSGOBIG_COIN3.1%00.0—
★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 83$1,700 1,700 CSGOBIG_COIN3.8%00.0—
★ Karambit | Autotronic (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 111$1,500 1,500 CSGOBIG_COIN2.5%00.0—
M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 67$1,300 1,300 CSGOBIG_COIN3.6%00.0—
★ Karambit | Freehand (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 33$1,050 1,050 CSGOBIG_COIN5.9%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 13$1,000 1,000 CSGOBIG_COIN14.9%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 20$850 850 CSGOBIG_COIN7.9%00.0—
★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert15.0%$800 800 CSGOBIG_COIN22.3%00.0—
★ Bayonet | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert20.0%$750 750 CSGOBIG_COIN27.9%00.0—
UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · mil spec20.0%$15.00 15 CSGOBIG_COIN0.6%00.0—
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Well-Worn)weapon · classified23.4%$10.00 10 CSGOBIG_COIN0.4%00.0—
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=461, 11 Nov, 12:47 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$59790.00%17
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 48.3%legendary 1.2%contraband 0.1%extraordinary 0.5%classified 24.9%covert knife 5.0%mil spec 20.0%