Street Pulse
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$159.48
159 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $143.53 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
126.66%
5 openings, odds method
Variance
1.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
24.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
50.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 5 openings and 1.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=462, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$159159 CSGOBIG_COIN$350350 CSGOBIG_COIN2.19x
★ Huntsman Knife | Stained (Factory New)knife · covert knife$159159 CSGOBIG_COIN$275275 CSGOBIG_COIN1.72x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $159 | 90.00% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.1%covert 37.7%extraordinary 0.7%classified 1.0%epic 2.5%covert knife 8.0%exotic 50.0%best hit —