Pixel Rush
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$3.37
3.37 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.09%
EV $3.04 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.08%
27 openings, odds method
Variance
12.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
30.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
50.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 27 openings and 8.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 27 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=463, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedZor$3.373.37 CSGOBIG_COIN$15.0015 CSGOBIG_COIN4.45x
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedZor$3.373.37 CSGOBIG_COIN$4.004 CSGOBIG_COIN1.19x
StatTrak™ AWP | Exoskeleton (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedZor$3.373.37 CSGOBIG_COIN$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN1.48x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.09%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.37 | 90.09% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.2%classified 5.0%restricted 42.8%Restricted 2.0%consumer 50.0%best hit —