Architect
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$24.11
24.11 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $21.70 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
109.91%
6 openings, odds method
Variance
134.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
62.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 6 openings and 0.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald | 1 in 10,000 | $20K 20,000 CSGOBIG_COIN | 9.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby | 1 in 10,000 | $15K 15,000 CSGOBIG_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear)weapon · legendary | 1 in 10,000 | $10K 10,000 CSGOBIG_COIN | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire | 1 in 10,000 | $7,500 7,500 CSGOBIG_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| AWP | Asiimov (Well-Worn)weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $65.00 65 CSGOBIG_COIN | 15.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn)weapon · covert | 10.0% | $37.00 37 CSGOBIG_COIN | 17.1% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| AWP | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 23.0% | $25.00 25 CSGOBIG_COIN | 26.5% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.17× |
| M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 27.0% | $10.00 10 CSGOBIG_COIN | 12.4% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× |
| Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter)sticker · remarkable | 35.0% | $3.00 3 CSGOBIG_COIN | 4.8% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=469, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $24.11 | 90.00% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 65.0%legendary 0.0%remarkable 35.0%best hit —