Hoist
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.72
0.72 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.03%
EV $0.65 from 5 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.82%
380 openings, odds method
Variance
9.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 380 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary | 1 in 40 | $12.12 12.12 CSGOBIG_COIN | 46.7% | 7 | 9.5 | 0.74× |
| AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ee6 | 1 in 40 | $5.43 5.43 CSGOBIG_COIN | 20.9% | 16 | 9.5 | 1.68× |
| USP-S | Whiteout (Field-Tested)weapon · classified | 1 in 40 | $4.69 4.69 CSGOBIG_COIN | 18.1% | 7 | 9.5 | 0.74× |
| StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · violet | 1 in 40 | $3.33 3.33 CSGOBIG_COIN | 12.8% | 13 | 9.5 | 1.37× |
| PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9 | 90.0% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG_COIN | 1.4% | 337 | 342.0 | 0.99× |
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=50, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$0.720.72 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · violet$0.720.72 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.333.33 CSGOBIG_COIN4.63x
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$0.720.72 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$0.720.72 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$0.720.72 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$0.720.72 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9𝔅𝔩𝔲𝔢𝔄𝔠𝔢𝔶$0.720.72 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$0.720.72 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$0.720.72 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$0.720.72 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.03%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.72 | 90.03% | 5 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedLegendary 2.5%#d32ee6 2.5%classified 2.5%violet 2.5%#B0C3D9 90.0%best hit —