Gleam
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$20.00
20 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $18.00 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
34.33%
18 openings, odds method
Variance
93.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 33
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 18 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 18 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AWP | Gungnir (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 1 in 1,000 | $6,080 6,080 CSGOBIG_COIN | 33.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)knife · gold | 1 in 111 | $200 200 CSGOBIG_COIN | 10.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| AK-47 | Vulcan (Well-Worn)weapon · covert | 1 in 50 | $113 113 CSGOBIG_COIN | 12.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Well-Worn)weapon · covert | 1 in 50 | $89.00 89 CSGOBIG_COIN | 9.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 40 | $48.00 48 CSGOBIG_COIN | 6.7% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient | 1 in 40 | $37.00 37 CSGOBIG_COIN | 5.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New)weapon · red | 1 in 20 | $17.00 17 CSGOBIG_COIN | 4.7% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| MP7 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 25.0% | $8.10 8.1 CSGOBIG_COIN | 11.2% | 2 | 4.5 | 0.44× |
| MAG-7 | Firestarter (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade | 30.0% | $3.20 3.2 CSGOBIG_COIN | 5.3% | 6 | 5.4 | 1.11× |
| AUG | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare | 30.0% | $0.40 0.4 CSGOBIG_COIN | 0.7% | 8 | 5.4 | 1.48× |
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=62, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · AncientPepaRambo$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$37.0037 CSGOBIG_COIN1.85x
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.203.2 CSGOBIG_COIN0.16x
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.203.2 CSGOBIG_COIN0.16x
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.203.2 CSGOBIG_COIN0.16x
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.203.2 CSGOBIG_COIN0.16x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $20.00 | 90.00% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 6.6%gold 0.9%Ancient 2.5%red 5.0%restricted 25.0%Mil Spec Grade 30.0%Rare 30.0%best hit —