Inheritance
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$28.00
28 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.97%
EV $25.19 from 5 items
Observed RTP, 30d
10.21%
42 openings, odds method
Variance
39.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 100
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 42 openings and 0.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 43 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 400 | $2,085 2,085 CSGOBIG_COIN | 20.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 133 | $1,635 1,635 CSGOBIG_COIN | 48.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 100 | $260 260 CSGOBIG_COIN | 10.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 33 | $80.00 80 CSGOBIG_COIN | 9.5% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Factory New)weapon · Mythical | 95.0% | $2.86 2.86 CSGOBIG_COIN | 10.8% | 43 | 40.9 | 1.05× |
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=63, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Factory New)weapon · Mythical$28.0028 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.862.86 CSGOBIG_COIN0.10x
Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Factory New)weapon · Mythical$28.0028 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.862.86 CSGOBIG_COIN0.10x
Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Factory New)weapon · Mythical$28.0028 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.862.86 CSGOBIG_COIN0.10x
Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Factory New)weapon · Mythical$28.0028 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.862.86 CSGOBIG_COIN0.10x
Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Factory New)weapon · Mythical$28.0028 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.862.86 CSGOBIG_COIN0.10x
Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Factory New)weapon · Mythical$28.0028 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.862.86 CSGOBIG_COIN0.10x
Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Factory New)weapon · Mythical$28.0028 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.862.86 CSGOBIG_COIN0.10x
Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Factory New)weapon · Mythical$28.0028 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.862.86 CSGOBIG_COIN0.10x
Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Factory New)weapon · Mythical$28.0028 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.862.86 CSGOBIG_COIN0.10x
Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Factory New)weapon · Mythical$28.0028 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.862.86 CSGOBIG_COIN0.10x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.97%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $28.00 | 89.97% | 5 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 0.3%extraordinary 0.8%covert 4.0%Mythical 95.0%best hit —