Blossom
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$11.72
11.72 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $10.55 from 5 items
Observed RTP, 30d
122.01%
4 openings, odds method
Variance
2.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 4 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Five-SeveN | Crimson Blossom (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade | 1 in 13 | $52.00 52 CSGOBIG_COIN | 37.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| MP7 | Teal Blossom (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff | 1 in 13 | $50.00 50 CSGOBIG_COIN | 35.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Factory New)weapon · industrial | 1 in 13 | $10.38 10.38 CSGOBIG_COIN | 7.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff | 1 in 13 | $5.86 5.86 CSGOBIG_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Dual Berettas | Briar (Factory New)weapon · consumer | 70.0% | $2.40 2.4 CSGOBIG_COIN | 15.9% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.07× |
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=70, 12 Nov, 01:41 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Dual Berettas | Briar (Factory New)weapon · consumer$11.7211.72 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.402.4 CSGOBIG_COIN0.20x
Dual Berettas | Briar (Factory New)weapon · consumer$11.7211.72 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.402.4 CSGOBIG_COIN0.20x
Dual Berettas | Briar (Factory New)weapon · consumer$11.7211.72 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.402.4 CSGOBIG_COIN0.20x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $11.72 | 90.00% | 5 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedMil Spec Grade 7.5%#4b69ff 15.0%industrial 7.5%consumer 70.0%best hit —