Cyberpunk Uprising
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$14.00
14 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.01%
EV $12.60 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
76.71%
2 openings, odds method
Variance
1.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
16.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
69.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 2 openings and 0.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=74, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF$14.0014 CSGOBIG_COIN$16.5516.55 CSGOBIG_COIN1.18x
StatTrak™ MP7 | Neon Ply (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff$14.0014 CSGOBIG_COIN$4.934.93 CSGOBIG_COIN0.35x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.01%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $14.00 | 90.01% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 15.9%classified 7.1%#eb4b4b 4.5%#D32CE6 5.2%#4B69FF 8.4%pink 5.8%#8847ff 12.3%Mil Spec Grade 18.1%Rare 6.5%Mil Spec 9.1%industrial 2.6%#B0C3D9 3.2%Common 1.3%best hit —