Ancient Mysteries

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$9.00

9 CSGOBIG_COIN

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $8.10 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d

80.14%

7 openings, odds method

Variance

1.3×

of price², per opening

Tail share

21.7%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

75.1%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

6 openings · below min

7 days

7 openings · below min

30 days

7 openings · below min

since tracking started

7 openings · below min

-0.5%89.3%179.0%

Small sample. 7 openings and 1.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	6	86.17%±92.4	—	odds
7d	7	80.14%±85.6	—	odds
30d	7	80.14%±85.6	—	odds
All	7	80.14%±85.6	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Ancient	1 in 100	$78.35 78.35 CSGOBIG_COIN	9.7%	0	0.1	—
USP-S \| Ancient Visions (Field-Tested)weapon · Restricted	1 in 22	$28.20 28.2 CSGOBIG_COIN	15.8%	1	0.3	—
AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Factory New)weapon · Ancient	1 in 13	$25.39 25.39 CSGOBIG_COIN	24.3%	0	0.5	—
PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 12	$9.14 9.14 CSGOBIG_COIN	9.5%	0	0.6	—
PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 31	$9.01 9.01 CSGOBIG_COIN	3.6%	0	0.2	—
Sticker \| GODSENT (Gold) \| Stockholm 2021sticker · #EB4B4B	1 in 11	$8.19 8.19 CSGOBIG_COIN	9.2%	0	0.6	—
PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 14	$6.28 6.28 CSGOBIG_COIN	5.5%	0	0.5	—
Paris 2023 Ancient Souvenir Packagecontainer · #F2F8FF	11.0%	$5.99 5.99 CSGOBIG_COIN	8.1%	1	0.8	—
Antwerp 2022 Ancient Souvenir Packagecontainer · Base Grade	1 in 17	$3.99 3.99 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.9%	1	0.4	—
Paris 2023 Anubis Souvenir Packagecontainer · #F2F8FF	1 in 10	$3.96 3.96 CSGOBIG_COIN	4.7%	2	0.7	—
Rio 2022 Ancient Souvenir Packagecontainer · Base Grade	1 in 15	$3.34 3.34 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.7%	1	0.5	—
Tec-9 \| Mummy's Rot (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue	1 in 39	$3.31 3.31 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.1%	0	0.2	—
MAG-7 \| Petroglyph (Factory New)weapon · violet	1 in 26	$1.33 1.33 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.6%	0	0.3	—
G3SG1 \| Ancient Ritual (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #5E98D9	10.3%	$1.30 1.3 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.7%	0	0.7	—
G3SG1 \| Ancient Ritual (Field-Tested)weapon · blueLight	1 in 19	$1.05 1.05 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.7%	1	0.4	—
Souvenir G3SG1 \| Ancient Ritual (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #5E98D9	1 in 77	$0.09 0.09 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	0	0.1	—
Tec-9 \| Groundwater (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer	1 in 152	$0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	0	0.0	—
Tec-9 \| Groundwater (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Common	1 in 51	$0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	0	0.1	—

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=75, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Paris 2023 Anubis Souvenir Packagecontainer · #F2F8FF$9.009 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.963.96 CSGOBIG_COIN0.44x22h

G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Field-Tested)weapon · blueLight$9.009 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.051.05 CSGOBIG_COIN0.12x22h

Paris 2023 Ancient Souvenir Packagecontainer · #F2F8FF$9.009 CSGOBIG_COIN$5.995.99 CSGOBIG_COIN0.67x22h

USP-S | Ancient Visions (Field-Tested)weapon · Restricted$9.009 CSGOBIG_COIN$28.2028.2 CSGOBIG_COIN3.13x22h

Antwerp 2022 Ancient Souvenir Packagecontainer · Base Grade$9.009 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.993.99 CSGOBIG_COIN0.44x22h

Rio 2022 Ancient Souvenir Packagecontainer · Base GradeERO$9.009 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.343.34 CSGOBIG_COIN0.37x22h

Paris 2023 Anubis Souvenir Packagecontainer · #F2F8FF$9.009 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.963.96 CSGOBIG_COIN0.44x1d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$9.00	90.00%	18

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedAncient 8.8%Restricted 4.5%covert 18.8%#EB4B4B 9.1%#F2F8FF 20.7%Base Grade 12.3%blue 2.6%violet 3.9%#5E98D9 11.6%blueLight 5.2%consumer 0.7%Common 1.9%best hit —