Jungle Expedition

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$120.00
120 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $108.00 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
96.53%
1 openings, odds method
Variance
6.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
22.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.7%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
1 openings · below min
30 days
1 openings · below min
since tracking started
1 openings · below min
-0.5%296.8%594.0%

Small sample. 1 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d196.53%±497.0—odds
30d196.53%±497.0—odds
All196.53%±497.0—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald1 in 1,000$8,932 8,932 CSGOBIG_COIN8.3%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 51$800 800 CSGOBIG_COIN14.5%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 26$231 231 CSGOBIG_COIN8.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 14$231 231 CSGOBIG_COIN15.4%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 11$140 140 CSGOBIG_COIN11.9%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B1 in 12$116 116 CSGOBIG_COIN9.1%10.1—
★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 38$113 113 CSGOBIG_COIN2.7%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 17$94.00 94 CSGOBIG_COIN5.1%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife11.1%$91.42 91.42 CSGOBIG_COIN9.4%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)knife · covert10.4%$80.13 80.13 CSGOBIG_COIN7.8%00.1—
★ Shadow Daggers | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)knife · #ffd7001 in 10$80.00 80 CSGOBIG_COIN7.3%00.1—
M4A4 | Jungle Tiger (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial1 in 22$5.17 5.17 CSGOBIG_COIN0.2%00.0—
Sealed Graffiti | Chef Kiss (Battle Green)graffiti · #B0C3D91 in 77$0.26 0.26 CSGOBIG_COIN0.0%00.0—
G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Factory New)weapon · consumer1 in 15$0.17 0.17 CSGOBIG_COIN0.0%00.1—
Sealed Graffiti | Grimace (Battle Green)graffiti · #B0C3D91 in 13$0.14 0.14 CSGOBIG_COIN0.0%00.1—
P250 | Forest Night (Field-Tested)weapon · gray1 in 31$0.09 0.09 CSGOBIG_COIN0.0%00.0—
Sealed Graffiti | Speechless (Jungle Green)graffiti · #B0C3D91 in 153$0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG_COIN0.0%00.0—
Sealed Graffiti | Sorry (Cash Green)graffiti · Common1 in 19$0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG_COIN0.0%00.1—
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=78, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$12090.00%18
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 13.2%covert knife 32.0%classified 7.2%#EB4B4B 8.5%#ffd700 9.8%industrial 4.6%#B0C3D9 9.8%consumer 6.5%gray 3.3%Common 5.2%best hit —