Dead Space
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$6.00
6 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $5.40 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
69.43%
7 openings, odds method
Variance
3.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
79.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 7 openings and 0.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=79, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$6.006 CSGOBIG_COIN$4.514.51 CSGOBIG_COIN0.75x
StatTrak™ Music Kit | Tim Huling, Neo Noirmusic kit · #4B69FF$6.006 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.801.8 CSGOBIG_COIN0.30x
Sticker | Space Soldiers | Boston 2018sticker · #4B69FF$6.006 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.501.5 CSGOBIG_COIN0.25x
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)weapon · covertERDBEERMiiLCH"$6.006 CSGOBIG_COIN$8.068.06 CSGOBIG_COIN1.34x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $6.00 | 90.00% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 12.0%covert 15.5%#8847FF 3.9%Restricted 18.8%restricted 16.2%#4B69FF 16.8%violet 12.9%consumer 1.3%#777777 1.9%Common 0.7%best hit —