Urban Legends
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$100.00
100 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $90.00 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.61%
15 openings, odds method
Variance
8.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
22.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
54.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 15 openings and 3.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 15 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=80, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$100100 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.040.04 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$100100 CSGOBIG_COIN$101101 CSGOBIG_COIN1.01x
★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$100100 CSGOBIG_COIN$203203 CSGOBIG_COIN2.03x
★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$100100 CSGOBIG_COIN$260260 CSGOBIG_COIN2.60x
StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert$100100 CSGOBIG_COIN$90.0590.05 CSGOBIG_COIN0.90x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $100 | 90.00% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcontraband 0.1%extraordinary 23.5%covert 17.6%#B0C3D9 18.9%Covert 9.8%red 10.4%#4b69ff 4.6%Common 8.5%consumer 6.5%best hit —