Viking Valor

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$20.00
20 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $18.00 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
101.19%
4 openings, odds method
Variance
1.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
24.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
62.7%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
3 openings · below min
30 days
4 openings · below min
since tracking started
4 openings · below min
-0.5%127.8%256.0%

Small sample. 4 openings and 1.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d3116.50%±138.8—odds
30d4101.19%±120.2—odds
All4101.19%±120.2—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Bowie Knife | Lore (Factory New)knife · Covert1 in 1,000$600 600 CSGOBIG_COIN3.3%00.0—
SCAR-20 | Brass (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec11.1%$56.66 56.66 CSGOBIG_COIN34.9%10.4—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 14$27.95 27.95 CSGOBIG_COIN11.2%00.3—
Souvenir Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF1 in 17$24.00 24 CSGOBIG_COIN7.8%00.2—
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec1 in 26$23.88 23.88 CSGOBIG_COIN5.2%00.2—
Souvenir Tec-9 | Brass (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF1 in 11$21.22 21.22 CSGOBIG_COIN10.8%00.4—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 31$17.90 17.9 CSGOBIG_COIN3.2%00.1—
Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 19$14.83 14.83 CSGOBIG_COIN4.3%00.2—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 12$12.03 12.03 CSGOBIG_COIN5.7%10.3—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 10$11.05 11.05 CSGOBIG_COIN6.0%10.4—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Heirloom (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 15$9.10 9.1 CSGOBIG_COIN3.3%00.3—
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 13$7.32 7.32 CSGOBIG_COIN3.2%00.3—
Desert Eagle | Urban DDPAT (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommon1 in 38$2.10 2.1 CSGOBIG_COIN0.3%00.1—
Tec-9 | Brass (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Rare10.4%$1.21 1.21 CSGOBIG_COIN0.7%10.4—
Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 22$0.18 0.18 CSGOBIG_COIN0.0%00.2—
PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Well-Worn)weapon · #5E98D91 in 152$0.09 0.09 CSGOBIG_COIN0.0%00.0—
MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer1 in 76$0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG_COIN0.0%00.1—
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Minimal Wear)weapon · Common1 in 51$0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG_COIN0.0%00.1—
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=82, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

SCAR-20 | Brass (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$56.6656.66 CSGOBIG_COIN2.83x
Tec-9 | Brass (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Rare$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.211.21 CSGOBIG_COIN0.06x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$12.0312.03 CSGOBIG_COIN0.60x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$20.0090.00%18
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedCovert 0.1%mil spec 15.0%covert 12.4%#4B69FF 15.0%restricted 35.9%Uncommon 2.6%Rare 10.4%#4b69ff 4.6%#5E98D9 0.7%consumer 1.3%Common 2.0%best hit —