Price
$20.00
20 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $18.00 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
101.19%
4 openings, odds method
Variance
1.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
24.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
62.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 4 openings and 1.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=82, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$12.0312.03 CSGOBIG_COIN0.60x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $20.00 | 90.00% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedCovert 0.1%mil spec 15.0%covert 12.4%#4B69FF 15.0%restricted 35.9%Uncommon 2.6%Rare 10.4%#4b69ff 4.6%#5E98D9 0.7%consumer 1.3%Common 2.0%best hit —