Oceanic Odyssey

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$10.00

10 CSGOBIG_COIN

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $9.00 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d

44.28%

13 openings, odds method

Variance

17.2×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 12

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

91.5%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

5 openings · below min

7 days

13 openings · below min

30 days

13 openings · below min

since tracking started

13 openings · below min

-0.5%208.0%416.5%

Small sample. 13 openings and 1.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	5	52.70%±363.1	—	odds
7d	13	44.28%±225.2	—	odds
30d	13	44.28%±225.2	—	odds
All	13	44.28%±225.2	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 100	$420 420 CSGOBIG_COIN	46.7%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 13	$12.48 12.48 CSGOBIG_COIN	10.5%	1	1.0	—
StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Azure Zebra (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF	1 in 12	$7.10 7.1 CSGOBIG_COIN	6.7%	0	1.1	0.00×
USP-S \| Blueprint (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 18	$7.01 7.01 CSGOBIG_COIN	4.4%	2	0.7	—
Souvenir XM1014 \| Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9	10.4%	$6.60 6.6 CSGOBIG_COIN	7.6%	2	1.3	1.49×
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Blue Streak (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 26	$6.11 6.11 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.6%	1	0.5	—
Crasswater The Forgotten \| Guerrilla Warfareagent · master	12.2%	$5.45 5.45 CSGOBIG_COIN	7.4%	1	1.6	0.63×
Sticker \| Blue Gem (Glitter)sticker · remarkable	11.3%	$4.48 4.48 CSGOBIG_COIN	5.6%	1	1.5	0.68×
StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Blue Titanium (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	13.2%	$3.96 3.96 CSGOBIG_COIN	5.8%	0	1.7	0.00×
StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Last Dive (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 15	$2.72 2.72 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.0%	0	0.9	—
Sealed Graffiti \| Kiss (Wire Blue)graffiti · #B0C3D9	1 in 21	$0.69 0.69 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.4%	1	0.6	—
Sealed Graffiti \| 200 IQ (Monarch Blue)graffiti · #B0C3D9	1 in 11	$0.37 0.37 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.4%	3	1.2	2.45×
R8 Revolver \| Desert Brush (Minimal Wear)weapon · Common	1 in 35	$0.09 0.09 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	0	0.4	—
Galil AR \| Sage Spray (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer	1 in 103	$0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	0	0.1	—
P250 \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer	1 in 52	$0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	1	0.2	—

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=84, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

USP-S | Blueprint (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$7.017.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.70x22h

Crasswater The Forgotten | Guerrilla Warfareagent · master$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$5.455.45 CSGOBIG_COIN0.55x22h

Sealed Graffiti | Kiss (Wire Blue)graffiti · #B0C3D9$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.690.69 CSGOBIG_COIN0.07x22h

Souvenir XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$6.606.6 CSGOBIG_COIN0.66x22h

P250 | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.030.03 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x2d

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$6.116.11 CSGOBIG_COIN0.61x2d

Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter)sticker · remarkable$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$4.484.48 CSGOBIG_COIN0.45x2d

Sealed Graffiti | 200 IQ (Monarch Blue)graffiti · #B0C3D9$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.370.37 CSGOBIG_COIN0.04x2d

USP-S | Blueprint (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$7.017.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.70x2d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$10.00	90.00%	15

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 1.0%classified 7.5%#4B69FF 8.5%mil spec 18.8%#B0C3D9 24.5%Restricted 10.4%master 12.2%remarkable 11.3%Common 2.8%consumer 2.9%best hit —