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Zombie Apocalypse

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1.00
1 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.06%
EV $0.90 from 15 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.83%
35 openings, odds method
Variance
0.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
35.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
76.3%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
5 openings · below min
7 days
33 openings · below min
30 days
35 openings · below min
since tracking started
35 openings · below min
20.5%79.0%137.5%

Small sample. 35 openings and 12.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h579.20%±57.8—odds
7d3392.12%±22.5—odds
30d3590.83%±21.9—odds
All3590.83%±21.9—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 35 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted10.0%$2.55 2.55 CSGOBIG_COIN28.3%43.51.14×
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 27$2.06 2.06 CSGOBIG_COIN8.3%21.31.57×
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF10.0%$1.15 1.15 CSGOBIG_COIN12.8%13.50.29×
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted11.6%$0.87 0.87 CSGOBIG_COIN11.2%44.10.98×
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF1 in 17$0.86 0.86 CSGOBIG_COIN5.8%02.10.00×
SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 11$0.66 0.66 CSGOBIG_COIN6.8%43.21.24×
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted1 in 15$0.62 0.62 CSGOBIG_COIN4.7%42.41.67×
SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff1 in 19$0.61 0.61 CSGOBIG_COIN3.5%01.80.00×
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 12$0.59 0.59 CSGOBIG_COIN5.5%42.91.36×
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff10.8%$0.59 0.59 CSGOBIG_COIN7.1%63.81.59×
XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 13$0.52 0.52 CSGOBIG_COIN4.4%32.71.12×
Sticker | The Zombiesticker · high1 in 49$0.34 0.34 CSGOBIG_COIN0.8%00.7—
MAC-10 | Ensnared (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec1 in 80$0.09 0.09 CSGOBIG_COIN0.1%10.4—
MP7 | Sunbaked (Minimal Wear)weapon · Common1 in 23$0.09 0.09 CSGOBIG_COIN0.4%11.60.64×
MAG-7 | Popdog (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 35$0.08 0.08 CSGOBIG_COIN0.3%11.0—
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=87, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
MAC-10 | Ensnared (Well-Worn)weapon · milspecMort$1.001 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.090.09 CSGOBIG_COIN0.09x
MAG-7 | Popdog (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$1.001 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.080.08 CSGOBIG_COIN0.08x
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$1.001 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.552.55 CSGOBIG_COIN2.55x
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$1.001 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.620.62 CSGOBIG_COIN0.62x
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · RestrictedCarmote$1.001 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.620.62 CSGOBIG_COIN0.62x
SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ffإيدي MADATORICELIFAN$1.001 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.660.66 CSGOBIG_COIN0.66x
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedإيدي MADATORICELIFAN$1.001 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.590.59 CSGOBIG_COIN0.59x
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ffcartell$1.001 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.590.59 CSGOBIG_COIN0.59x
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedtwoloud$1.001 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.590.59 CSGOBIG_COIN0.59x
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New)weapon · restrictedtwoloud$1.001 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.062.06 CSGOBIG_COIN2.06x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.06%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$1.0090.06%15
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedRestricted 28.4%restricted 19.7%#8847FF 16.0%#8847ff 25.3%high 2.0%milspec 1.2%Common 4.4%mil spec 2.8%best hit —