Price
$15.00
15 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $13.50 from 20 items
Observed RTP, 30d
102.56%
103 openings, odds method
Variance
3.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 103 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=9, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ M249 | Deep Relief (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec$15.0015 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.380.38 CSGOBIG_COIN0.03x
M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec GradeZANE$15.0015 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.710.71 CSGOBIG_COIN0.05x
StatTrak™ M249 | Deep Relief (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec$15.0015 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.380.38 CSGOBIG_COIN0.03x
M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$15.0015 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.710.71 CSGOBIG_COIN0.05x
★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$15.0015 CSGOBIG_COIN$54.0054 CSGOBIG_COIN3.60x
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$15.0015 CSGOBIG_COIN$48.0048 CSGOBIG_COIN3.20x
SG 553 | Integrale (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$15.0015 CSGOBIG_COIN$30.8730.87 CSGOBIG_COIN2.06x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $15.00 | 90.00% | 20 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 10.0%covert 2.3%classified 21.9%exotic 5.8%Mil Spec 15.0%base 3.5%#4b69ff 9.2%High Grade 12.7%Common 1.2%Mil Spec Grade 13.8%industrial 4.6%best hit —