Nature Beasts
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$47.00
47 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $42.30 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
70.26%
8 openings, odds method
Variance
0.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
24.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
65.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 8 openings and 1.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=92, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$47.0047 CSGOBIG_COIN$95.8595.85 CSGOBIG_COIN2.04x
StatTrak™ MP9 | Food Chain (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · pink$47.0047 CSGOBIG_COIN$9.039.03 CSGOBIG_COIN0.19x
M4A4 | Jungle Tiger (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial$47.0047 CSGOBIG_COIN$6.906.9 CSGOBIG_COIN0.15x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified$47.0047 CSGOBIG_COIN$34.2734.27 CSGOBIG_COIN0.73x
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6Necrz25$47.0047 CSGOBIG_COIN$17.9917.99 CSGOBIG_COIN0.38x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$47.0047 CSGOBIG_COIN$95.8595.85 CSGOBIG_COIN2.04x
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Monster Call (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ffBigD$47.0047 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.081.08 CSGOBIG_COIN0.02x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $47.00 | 90.00% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed1 0.6%covert 26.0%classified 30.3%Classified 7.1%#d32ee6 5.2%pink 14.2%industrial 9.7%#8847ff 3.9%grey 1.9%#B0C3D9 1.3%best hit —