Price
$449.00
449 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $404.09 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
9.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
19.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
81.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Factory New)gloves · legendary | 1 in 100 | $13.8K 13,800 CSGOBIG_COIN | 34.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 33 | $966 966 CSGOBIG_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Moto Gloves | POW! (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 33 | $955 955 CSGOBIG_COIN | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 12.0% | $860 860 CSGOBIG_COIN | 25.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 13 | $289 289 CSGOBIG_COIN | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| AK-47 | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified | 25.0% | $150 150 CSGOBIG_COIN | 9.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 18.0% | $148 148 CSGOBIG_COIN | 6.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 30.0% | $60.00 60 CSGOBIG_COIN | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=96, 11 Nov, 12:47 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
No history yet
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $449 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 1.0%extraordinary 6.0%covert 68.0%classified 25.0%