Breakout

A case on CSGOCASES (CS2 cases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOCASES's own item price.

Price

$1.79

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

112.49%

1,065 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

3 openings · below min

7 days

946 openings · below min

30 days

112.49%±44.651,065 openings

since tracking started

112.49%±44.651,065 openings

24.0%96.0%168.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	3	59.22%±34.7	—	sample
7d	946	117.23%±50.2	—	sample
30d	1,065	112.49%±44.6	—	sample
All	1,065	112.49%±44.6	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOCASES publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGOCASES's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertG$1.79$255142.2x2d

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested)weapon · covertAlex$1.79$247138.2x1d

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested)weapon · covertTibiy10$1.79$247138.2x3d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Minimal Wear)weapon · 1Click$1.79$0.690.39x1h

P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear)weapon · RarePudzian DDL$1.79$0.800.45x2h

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New)weapon · Mil SpecBURALARI AYDINLAT HELE$1.79$1.690.94x6h

SSG 08 | Abyss (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil specI am a Muslim on a Friday$1.79$1.770.99x1d

Negev | Desert-Strike (Field-Tested)weapon · mil specI am a Muslim on a Friday$1.79$0.780.44x1d

StatTrak™ P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FFI am a Muslim on a Friday$1.79$1.300.73x1d

P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear)weapon · RarePatrick Jane$1.79$0.800.45x1d

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New)weapon · RarePatrick Jane$1.79$1.540.86x1d

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Minimal Wear)weapon · 1Patrick Jane$1.79$0.690.39x1d

Nova | Koi (Minimal Wear)weapon · restrictedPatrick Jane$1.79$4.132.31x1d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:38 UTC	$1.79	—	0

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $255 (142.2x)